We’re down to the final election laps, coming in for a finish, and I’m filled with apprehensive thoughts about what’s to come. Last year I wrote a piece in which I posited that although Trump has a chance to win again in 2020, it was a thin one, as the demographics of the electorate have gotten more unfavorable for Republicans four years later (as they do every four years) and all things being equal, Trump couldn’t win. His only chance was a major increase in turn out of his voters. Turn out, in a country in which only about half the voting age population votes is crucial.
However things never stay “equal” as 2020 brought us not only Covid, but “The Summer of George,” a social justice holocaust brought about by the death of George Floyd. The rioting and arson got out of control almost exclusively as a result of Democratic governors, mayors, and city councils, which not only refused to do anything to stop the mayhem, but took the side of rioters. This provided us with the possibility, which I had discussed a few months ago, that the election may boil down to an election of normal people vs the Woke crazies.
A normal vs woke election would be good news for Trump, but there is still another wrinkle out there. In 2016, we knew who the President was by the wee hours of the morning after Election Day. This year, it seems likely that we may not know for days or weeks. In 2016, the Democrats just did not believe they could lose; all of their smartest pundits and talking heads told them so, and they acted, or didn’t act, accordingly. This year, they are well aware of the possibility and have pulled out all the stops to make sure that doesn’t happen. And by all the stops, I mean election fraud and cheating. The table is being set for that in state after state. As I mentioned a few weeks ago, a Michigan judge overturned not only the law that required that mail in ballots arrive at the polls no later than Election Day, but also the law against ballot harvesting. The combination of open ended receiving of late mail in ballots and allowing ballot harvesting probably spells doom for Trump’s chances in States that allow that. Although Trump could possibly win Michigan on Election Day, it’s unlikely he would still be the winner ten days later.
The Democrats have already more or less promised Civil War if Biden loses, what about Trump Supporters if the election is lost and it appears it was lost due to voter fraud? Republicans have traditionally swallowed hard and accepted the loss “for the good of the country.” Most famously during the Presidential election of 1960 of Kennedy vs Nixon, Bob Dornan’s Congressional election, and Al Franken’s Senate race. But that was then. Democrats are used to Republicans rolling over for election fraud, and maybe they still think that would happen this year, but Trump is unlikely to accept his own defeat if there are actual, credible allegations of voter fraud in key states.
So I’m worried.