I’m about a couple of things:
Experts are not Experts. Our society worships expertise and tends to take the word of experts on matters that in theory, they’re supposed to be experts in. My observation is that an organization can look highly professional on the outside or at a distance. The closer you get to it, the more haphazard it looks. Much of the time experts both have no idea what they’re doing or are fully assured they are correct and are still wrong.
Accurate Predictions matter. All manner of talking heads make all matter of predictions on TV and print, with no accountability and no checking to see if they’re correct. So I make predictions and note if they’re right or wrong, particularly if I’m wrong. Those are the most important predictions to analyze.
Demography is Destiny. In politics, there is no end to the number of things that can influence elections, but as the United States becomes more tribal, then tribes become more and more important. As noted in the 2002 book The Emerging Democratic Majority, by John Judis and Ruy Teixeira; the decline in the percentage of non-Hispanic Whites relative to all other populations mean that the Democratic Party will be the beneficiary of an increasingly diverse and divisive, population.
American Decline. All nations fall and the US will not be an exception. That decline can be slowed (policies I support) or sped up (policies my political opponents support) but it can’t be stopped. The arc of history tends towards entropy.
Contact me at mikestreetstation at gmail.com