End of an (Trump) Era

As wacky as 2020 has been, in many respects, the election hasn’t drifted too far from how I assumed it would go nearly a year ago. I had said that Trump had a chance, but it was a small one.  Then as we got closer and closer to the election, “events dear boy, events;” began to make their presence felt.  Still, Trump might have been able to handle the COVID and BLM issues all things being equal, but as I said last month:

A normal vs woke election would be good news for Trump, but there is still another wrinkle out there.  In 2016, we knew who the President was by the wee hours of the morning after Election Day.  This year, it seems likely that we may not know for days or weeks.  In 2016, the Democrats just did not believe they could lose; all of their smartest pundits and talking heads told them so, and they acted, or didn’t act, accordingly.  This year, they are well aware of the possibility and have pulled out all the stops to make sure that doesn’t happen.  And by all the stops, I mean election fraud and cheating.  The table is being set for that in state after state.

… The combination of open ended receiving of late mail in ballots and allowing ballot harvesting probably spells doom for Trump’s chances in States that allow that.  Although Trump could possibly win Michigan [or other close swing States] on Election Day, it’s unlikely he would still be the winner ten days later.

So I figured if Trump didn’t win on Tuesday night, it was pretty much over.  So this has just been a big “waiting for the other shoe to drop” exercise for me.  But now that the other shoe has dropped, it’s important to pick up the pieces and see where we are at.

  1.  No Blue Wave.   Frankly I didn’t know they were even expecting one.  I had cut out MSNBC, the Pravda by the Potomac, quite a while ago so I had no idea they were fully expecting to sweep the Senate too.  But I’ve read countless lefty (actually MSM) articles scratching their heads trying to figure out why Mitch McConnell wasn’t going to be beheaded in January by Chuck Schumer.  As I remember from the Obama win in 2008, victory only makes them angrier.
  2. The end finally of the Never Trump movement?  With Trump gone, can the hundreds Lincoln Project never Trumpers go away now?  Given that they supported a Democrat over propping up a “conservative” alternative this year, as they did in 2016, they have nowhere to go but hat in hand to a Biden administration.  So…they’re Democrats.  Their departure will be good for the Republican Party.
  3. Trump’s court challenges.  Trump will likely keep fighting as long as the courts allow, but the trail will be cold and there won’t be much in the way of relief as there never seems to be in voter fraud issues.  You can’t undo the fact that ballots were not segregated, as ordered by the Courts in Philadelphia.  The evidence is now safely buried in the Meadowlands.  However it’s possible that a combination of Trump court challenges and investigations by the DoJ Civil Rights Division could open wider investigations.  That will be a welcome change, at least until the Biden Administration shuts them down.
  4. Vengeance is mine.  As I said earlier, victory only makes them angrier.  The Democrats may not get to behead Cocaine Mitch, but they are for sure planning to behead someone.  Settling scores seems to be on the mind of the Progressive Politburo.

 

This is, to say the least, an undemocratic attitude.  However it’s très French Revolution.  Given how insane the left has gotten over the past 4 years, will they step back from the brink, or continue to emulate the worst characteristics of 20th Century Communist regimes?  Stay tuned.

October Surprises

It’s that time of the year again; the time when every possible food or drink sprouts a pumpkin spice equivalent and giant bags of discount candy clog the aisles of most American grocery and convenience stores.  Of course every four years it’s also the season of the October surprise, the media hit job designed by the Democrats and the media to take out whoever the Republican candidate is.

In 2016 it was famously the Hollywood Access tape, with its “grab them by the pussy” quote that the media was sure would destroy Trump and somehow…didn’t.  2012 had the more reliable release of the audio from Romney’s 47% quote which severely damaged his campaign.

This year is more challenging since Trump has been dealing with the equivalent of an October surprise every few weeks since he’s been President.  The media has never tired of releasing crazy stories based on “anonymous sources” that almost inevitably crap out and are never confirmable.  Most recently The Atlantic hit job, Trump: Americans Who Died in War Are ‘Losers’ and ‘Suckers’. Anonymous sources that were later contradicted by at least 10 confirmed named sources. Trump has ridden all of that out.

So if you are part of the DNC-media establishment, what could possibly take down Trump?

  •  More sexual harassment accusations.  There could actually be Democratic groups preparing the latest batch of “victims” to go live in some massive media presentation right now.  The history of these types of accusations against Trump doesn’t have a very good success rate, but pile on, in conjunction with other October surprises, could be helpful.
  • Trump says the N-word.  There have actually been multiple accusations of this in the past, but a fresh one by someone who actually sounds credible (not Michael Cohen MSNBC!) could put Trump on the defensive for a news cycle, but ultimately wouldn’t be a lasting hit, unless of course there is video of it.

And my favorite:

  • The Southern District of New York US Attorney’s Office announces, or has leaked, a sealed indictment for Donald Trump, his family, or his business.  The indictment doesn’t have to be for a real crime and could go away after the election.  The important thing is that the story of an indictment is out there, right before the election.

There may be other types of October surprises in the wings that I’ve not thought of.  However Trump isn’t a normal politician and his idea of damage control is to go on the counter attack.  That’s a tactic that’s worked for him in the past, but one would think the media has learned something over the past four years and has a real zinger prepared to take out Trump in the final days of the election.

Or maybe not.

Election Foreboding

We’re down to the final election laps, coming in for a finish, and I’m filled with apprehensive thoughts about what’s to come.  Last year I wrote a piece in which I posited that although Trump has a chance to win again in 2020, it was a thin one, as the demographics of the electorate have gotten more unfavorable for Republicans four years later (as they do every four years) and all things being equal, Trump couldn’t win. His only chance was a major increase in turn out of his voters.  Turn out, in a country in which only about half the voting age population votes is crucial. 

However things never stay “equal” as 2020 brought us not only Covid, but “The Summer of George,” a social justice holocaust brought about by the death of George Floyd.  The rioting and arson got out of control almost exclusively as a result of Democratic governors, mayors, and city councils, which not only refused to do anything to stop the mayhem, but took the side of rioters. This provided us with the possibility, which I had discussed a few months ago, that the election may boil down to an election of normal people vs the Woke crazies.

A normal vs woke election would be good news for Trump, but there is still another wrinkle out there.  In 2016, we knew who the President was by the wee hours of the morning after Election Day.  This year, it seems likely that we may not know for days or weeks.  In 2016, the Democrats just did not believe they could lose; all of their smartest pundits and talking heads told them so, and they acted, or didn’t act, accordingly.  This year, they are well aware of the possibility and have pulled out all the stops to make sure that doesn’t happen.  And by all the stops, I mean election fraud and cheating.  The table is being set for that in state after state.  As I mentioned a few weeks ago, a Michigan judge overturned not only the law that required that mail in ballots arrive at the polls no later than Election Day, but also the law against ballot harvesting.  The combination of open ended receiving of late mail in ballots and allowing ballot harvesting probably spells doom for Trump’s chances in States that allow that.  Although Trump could possibly win Michigan on Election Day, it’s unlikely he would still be the winner ten days later.

The Democrats have already more or less promised Civil War if Biden loses, what about Trump Supporters if the election is lost and it appears it was lost due to voter fraud?  Republicans have traditionally swallowed hard and accepted the loss “for the good of the country.”  Most famously during the Presidential election of 1960 of Kennedy vs Nixon, Bob Dornan’s Congressional election, and Al Franken’s Senate race.  But that was then.  Democrats are used to Republicans rolling over for election fraud, and maybe they still think that would happen this year, but Trump is unlikely to accept his own defeat if there are actual, credible allegations of voter fraud in key states.

So I’m worried.

Why Trump should fill the Supreme Court Position

As if 2020 needed any more murder hornets to plague us this year…

WASHINGTON (AP) — Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, a towering women’s rights champion who became the court’s second female justice, died Friday at her home in Washington. She was 87.  Ginsburg died of complications from metastatic pancreatic cancer, the court said.

Her death just over six weeks before Election Day…

Uh Oh.

Naturally the left went insane (again) almost immediately.

And between threatening burning the country down and civil war, it does bring up the totally legitimate question of whether the President should either hold off and leave the decision for the next President or just go ahead and pull the trigger now and try to ram another Supreme Court nominee through.

While mulling that over, I came across this…

Judge orders Michigan to accept mail-in ballots for 2 weeks after Election Day

Sept. 18 (UPI) — A Michigan judge on Friday ordered elections officials to accept mail-in ballots for two weeks after the 2020 election as long as they’re postmarked before Election Day.

The ruling substantially increases the amount of time ballots can be accepted in the state. Under existing law, officials count only mail-in ballots received by 8 p.m. on Election Day.

Get that? The judge overturned existing law.

But wait, there’s more!

In addition to extending the deadline for receiving mail-in ballots, Stephens also said a third party can submit a mail-in or absentee ballot for a voter — a practice described by critics as ballot harvesting.

As the judge ruled:

This court enjoins MCL 168.932(f) in this election from 5:00 p.m. Friday October 30, 2020 until the close of the polls on November 3, 2020, in so far as it limits the class of persons who may render an absent voter assistance. As a result, a voter casting an absent voter ballot in the November 2020 general election may select any individual the voter chooses to render assistance in returning an absent voter ballot, but only for the limited time period when assistance from the clerk is not required, i.e., between 5:01 p.m. on the Friday before the election and the close of polls on Election Day.

So in other words, the judge also overturned the law, making ballot harvesting legal.

So by having a partisan judge overturned the existing law in order to open the door wide open to electoral fraud means that it would be almost impossible for Trump to win Michigan, no matter how many votes Trump gets legitimately. The ballot harvesters will just turn in more ballots.

So the lessons I take from this is that Democratic judges ignore the law and constitution to get their way, so the right should do what we can to get a judge who respects the constitution on the court. The left intends to cheat to steal the election. We should recognize that and act accordingly.

TV Show Pitches: Poul Anderson Edition

In my continuing effort to pitch ideas for TV shows that I would like to watch, allow me to introduce science fiction writer Poul Anderson.  Anderson wrote science fiction from the 1940’s up to his death in 2001 and is considered one of the greats.  He would easily make most of the top ten best twentieth century science fiction writer listicles, and his work is extensive enough that it can supply an entire network or streaming service with shows.  Of course, the problem is that science fiction and other genre shows are expensive because of the effects and sets involved, and have a natural ceiling for an audience unless it’s the rare crossover hit that appeals to people that normally wouldn’t watch science fiction or genre type shows.

So that narrows the list considerably.

So let’s start with a TV show idea based on, as Anderson describes as, “one of the most popular things I’ve ever done,” The High Crusade.

Working Title:  Space KnightsKnights in Space!  Err…still working on this since the source material is called The High Crusade and crusades are problematic so…

Genre:  Science Fiction, Romance

Hot Take: Game of Thrones vs Aliens

In 1345 an alien ship lands near an English village while doing a scouting mission to colonize the planet.  Completely underestimating the threat of the low technology locals, a local Lord manages to capture the vessel and intends to use it to win the 100 Years war, and then roll back the Saracen gains in the Middle East with a new Crusade using the spaceship.  Ambitious right?  So he loads up the entire village on the ship to assist in the effort, only to be tricked by the sole alien survivor who sets the navigation to take the ship to the nearest alien colony world.

At this point that’s where I’d say the fun begins. Sir Roger, Baron de Tourneville, has to figure out how to take on aliens with advanced technology when they have only the barest idea of how things work, and have to bluff their way in dealing with other potential alien allies. Although it’s been many years since I read the book I remember it as being a lot of fun and this is a good moment for television shows that have characters drinking mead and wearing plated armor.  The story rolls out like an Arthurian legend lite and should have a lot of crossover appeal.

Working Title:  Flandry of Terra

Genre: Science Fiction, Spy Thriller, Space Opera

Hot Take:  James Bond meets Star Trek

In many ways this is a James Bond in space type of show, although the Dominic Flandry character predates Bond.  Flandry, a dashing intelligence agent in a declining 31st Century Terran Empire, shoots and seduces his way across the galaxy in service to the crown.  Unlike Bond however, Flandry does it with the full knowledge that the empire he serves is doomed, and is on an inevitable path of decline and crash, taking civilization with it.

Outside of the typical science fiction fans, it’s difficult to gauge how much of an audience there is for this type of show.  And it would be expensive.  As a writer, Poul Anderson was probably one of the best world builders in the business, but designing worlds isn’t like going from Hong Kong to Monaco.  It would require the type of money a network or streaming service is unlikely to invest in unless there is the type of angel investor that Jeff Bezos was for The Expanse.  Bezo’s liked the show so when it was cancelled on the Syfy network, he swooped in and bought it for Amazon Prime.  Any chance Bezos is a Flandry fan…?

Role Playing Election Chaos

I wrote a few weeks ago about the war gaming of the election ran by the Transition Integrity Project, an ironically named group whose real purpose seems to be simply to get Joe Biden elected, but behind the camouflage of a nonpartisan status  and a serious sounding name.  In the scenario that I mentioned, a replay of 2016 where Trump has an Electoral College victory but a popular vote loss, Biden wouldn’t concede and of course, chaos ensues.

In a follow up story in The Washington Post, TIG founder Rosa Brooks wrote an article fleshing out the wargaming experience with this take away, “A landslide for Joe Biden resulted in a relatively orderly transfer of power. Every other scenario we looked at involved street-level violence and political crisis. “

It’s been said before, but the summary is:  “Nice little country you got there.  It’d be a shame if something happened to it.”

I don’t hold the war gaming as any kind of oracle.  These are leftists playing make believe.  But it does show the intention of the left; they are simply not going to accept a loss this November, votes or no votes.  They would rather burn the country and it’s institutions to the ground rather than let Trump serve another term.

Once they pull that card, it’s over.  American political institutions won’t magically regrow.  We’ll lurch from crisis to crisis until some tyrant ends the lurching.

On the plus side… OK I’ve got nothing.

 

George Floyd…Not Murdered?

I saw a post at the Powerline blog that really caught my eye.  It through into question the entire idea that George Floyd had been murdered by Officer Derek Chauvin, the entire raison d’etre of this summer’s rioting and civil unrest.

Floyd’s case became internationally famous because of cell phone video that showed him slowly becoming unconscious while a police officer knelt on his neck. Surely he was asphyxiated! That conclusion seemed inescapable, especially since, while lying on the street with officers restraining him, Floyd complained of being unable to breathe. “I can’t breathe” became a Black Lives Matter battle cry.

But video that came out later showed that Floyd had been complaining of inability to breathe when he was standing up and walking around, long before he was on the street. And it emerged that the toxicology report associated with his autopsy found that he had at least double the dose of fentanyl in his blood that is normally considered lethal, along with other drugs. And shortness of breath is notoriously a symptom of fentanyl poisoning.

That he was high on fentanyl wasn’t a new aspect of the story; that came out when the initial autopsy report was released.  The new part was that he had a fatal dose of fentanyl in his system and that his lungs were filled with fluid consistent with fentanyl overdose.

In other words, he died from an overdose, not from whatever Derek Chauvin did to him.

And of course the prosecutors sat on this information all summer, while their own city and many others burned over a lie.  I guess I would say that’s par for the course.

As for me, I accepted the narrative that Floyd was murdered by Chauvin.  That’s what the video looked like, and I didn’t have any reason to question it until now.  In fact I even argued with a commenter “Curle” in a post discussing that very issue here.  I was wrong, and Curle was much closer to right than I was.

In the meantime none of this matters.  The match has already been lit so burn baby burn.

Normal vs Woke II: Electric Boogaloo

If it hasn’t already been obvious to you that CNN is beyond parody, it should be now.

Fiery But Mostly Peaceful

At this point, even the most distracted business traveler staring numbly at CNN in the passenger gate at the airport must realize how absurd their coverage is.  I mean, if even CNN dimbulb Don Lemon is starting to get it, it’s obvious to everyone

“The rioting has to stop,” Lemon said. “Chris, as you know and I know, it’s showing up in the polling. It’s showing up in focus groups. It is the only thing — it is the only thing right now that is sticking.”

Showing up indeed as some polling from Minnesota, which has undergone almost three months of riots after the death of George Floyd, is finally making an impact on the election.

Hillary Clinton took Minnesota in 2016 and in spite of previous Trump campaign efforts to push it in the red column for 2020, wasn’t making much headway.  But now look, in July, Biden led in polling by 13 points.  But the week ending in August 18th has the campaign at a virtual tie.

Minnesota is still a mostly blue state, and it could go for the Democrats anyway, but nothing about either Trump or Biden has changed in the past month, this is all riot related.  Riots that, should have been put down immediately rather than being indulged by woke state and local officials seeking to make common cause with BLM and Antifa rioters.

But normal people don’t like their cities and communities turned into war zones and being burned to the ground.  As I wrote about in June:

“It’s possible that the political re-alignment the country has been going through that began with Trump could veer off in unexpected ways.  We’ve mostly been looking at the 2020 election as elite vs deplorable,  managerial class vs blue collar workers, nationalists vs globalists, even the comments page vs the editorial board.  But this year it could spin around to normal people vs the Woke. “

If Don Lemon is aware of the threat this is to Democratic electoral prospects, than smart Democrats have probably been aware of this danger for a couple of months.  But so far the Democratic Party seems to be at the mercy of the mobs. If Trump wins in November, it may be on the backs of Democratic mayors, governors, and city councils which facilitated the destruction of their own communities.

Wokeism is insanity.  I’ll be anxious to see the polling next week from Wisconsin.

 

How to End Inequality-This Won’t End Well

I find myself constantly surprised that professors of history are not all reactionaries.  Studying the ebb and flow of multiple human societies, from struggling rise to decadent fall, should give those who study it some humility about what is possible, what can be accomplished, and the obstacles that are faced.

But no, almost all who teach history at the University level are wide eyed leftists, as if the topic they’ve dedicated their professional lives to has had zero impact on how they view the world.  It’s like an atheist theology student.  If you don’t take your subject seriously, why even study it?

Which brings me to Ibram X. Kendi, Professor of History; director of the “Center for Anti-Racism Research” at Boston University, and author of the well timed book, How to be an Antiracist.  The man who once wrote that “Europeans are simply a different breed of human” now has figured out how to fix what ails America.  The disease of course is racism and the cure?  Antiracism silly!  Kendi’s book, along with White Fragility by Robin DiAngelo has in a matter of months become the new doctrine on which all public policy in the US is to be judged.

Apparently these are America’s new Bibles.

In the pages of Politico in their How to fix… section Kendi turns semi-religious Woke ideology into actual public policy via a Constitutional amendment:

Reading this proposal, it reminded me of the source where Kendi may have stolen it from, author Kurt Vonnegut’s short story Harrison Bergeron (full story here).  Wikipedia describes it as a “dystopian science fiction story” in which in the future, constitutional amendments have mandated equality by mandating handicaps.  In the story George is intelligent, so is forced to wear a device that blares noises into his ears at intervals to interrupt his train of thought, beautiful people are ordered to wear masks and so on.  But the thing about dystopias is that we live in an age in which one man’s dystopia is another man’s utopia.

It doesn’t take too much thinking on this antiracism amendment idea to realize it would require the US to become probably the most totalitarian regime in world history to pull this off.  I’m sure that would be just fine with Kendi.  He does tend to see racism as the world’s number one problem and by any means necessary as the path to fix it.

So  Department of Anti-racism or United States Handicapper General, whatever we name it, it’s the same thing.

 

 

The Civil War Election

Civil War talk has been all the rage since the election of Donald Trump.  For myself, I don’t see a secessionist struggle of competing armies maneuvering across North America.  The imagery of civil war comes from our last civil war, with two competing governments and two professional armies engaging in more or less conventional warfare.  However Trump seems to have changed everything, including the 150 year old national consensus that there should be no further attempts at secessions.

Sure, there are State secession movements here or there.  Alaska, Vermont, and Texas have them, but these are small crackpot groups that are not really going anywhere politically.  Calexit is probably the biggest state secession movement, but I’ve always assumed there were too many competing interests that would oppose such a move to ever get it moving.

Until recently that is.

The New York Times recently ran a story called How the Media Could Get the Election Story Wrong. Ostensibly, the story is about the very likely possibility that we may not know who the new President is by the day after, or even the week after Election Day.  This seems a likely prospect to me.  The expansion of mail in voting and ballot harvesting means that like 2018, where several Republican wins on Election Day were turned to defeat a few weeks later, the ballots will just continue to trickle in until the right number is achieved.  It’s not over until the Democrat wins.  Democrats thrive in election chaos and in a tight race will want to draw out the process as long as possible.

However as bad as election chaos is, the Democrats are planning for something worse.  At the end of the article, there was this stunner.

“But conveniently, a group of former top government officials called the Transition Integrity Project actually gamed four possible scenarios, including one that doesn’t look that different from 2016: a big popular win for Mr. Biden, and a narrow electoral defeat, presumably reached after weeks of counting the votes in Pennsylvania. For their war game, they cast John Podesta, who was Hillary Clinton’s campaign chairman, in the role of Mr. Biden. They expected him, when the votes came in, to concede, just as Mrs. Clinton had.

But Mr. Podesta, playing Mr. Biden, shocked the organizers by saying he felt his party wouldn’t let him concede. Alleging voter suppression, he persuaded the governors of Wisconsin and Michigan to send pro-Biden electors to the Electoral College.

In that scenario, California, Oregon, and Washington then threatened to secede from the United States if Mr. Trump took office as planned. The House named Mr. Biden president; the Senate and White House stuck with Mr. Trump. At that point in the scenario, the nation stopped looking to the media for cues, and waited to see what the military would do. “

 

Well that’s unsettling.

Of course, one must keep in mind that the “Transition Integrity Project” is a lefty group.  Even the so called Republicans participating were never Trump Republicans.  But that seems to go to the point that this is giving us an idea of how the Democratic Party is really thinking.  After all, you can hardly get more establishment Democrat than John Podesta, and in this scenario he was the one who instigated the civil war.

I’ve recently been worried that this election will be the most chaotic and fraudulent in American history.  The bleating about mail in balloting is just another gadget in the election chaos toolbox.  And I’ve been worried about Electoral College shenanigans.  I wrote about this after the last Presidential election in which members of the establishment urged the electors to be “unfaithful” and vote for the establishment choice.  The Democrats even managed to sneak in one of their own as a “Republican” elector.  I hope the GOP is aware of this and screens their electors a lot better this time.

A year ago, I would have thought the worst I would have to worry about is Democratic get out the vote efforts in the nation’s cemeteries.  After all, the Democrats do have the Dead-American vote locked up. Now I have to worry about Democrats contesting an election that they’ve legitimately lost.

If 2016 was the Flight 93 Election, 2020 could well be the Civil War election.  Whether that’s the case this year or not, the clock is winding down on the American experiment.  I would hope for another reprieve but this little view into how the Democratic Party is strategizing makes me think I may not get one.